Not a lot of changes are happening in the housing market right now. It's as if both buyers and sellers are in a holding pattern awaiting a sign before making a move. Conventional mortgage rates have held steady in the high 6% and low 7% range for nearly 3 months now with little signs of a decline yet, keeping contract activity restricted since the 4th of July and overall demand 22% below normal for this time of year.
The continuous drop in supply we've been experiencing since October has slowed and flattened out over the past 6 weeks as well, but still 52% below normal for the past month and 39% below last year's supply count. The ratio between supply and demand is keeping Greater Phoenix in a seller's market, but it's mild compared to the last 3 years. This indicates an upward pressure on price, but more subdued. Betwee...
Whether you're a buyer seeking the perfect time to make your move or a seller contemplating your options, this video is a must-watch. With the fewest new listings in 23 years in the greater Phoenix area, both buyers and sellers will find out how this scarcity affects your opportunities and decisions. From rising interest rates to future predictions, I uncover it all in less than 3 minutes.
#azhousingmarket #azrealestate
Cindy Nelson is an Arizona native and REALTOR® with Realty ONE Group and serves the Phoenix Metro area and the White Mountain region. Cindy is a subscriber to the Cromford Market Report and an active Trusted Advisor University member.
Numbers don't lie. Here is what is really happening in the Phoenix area real estate market. Find out why now is an ideal window for buyers to make a move.
Cindy Nelson is an Arizona native and REALTOR® with Realty ONE Group and serves the Phoenix Metro area and the White Mountain region. Cindy is a subscriber to the Cromford Market Report and an active Trusted Advisor University member.
After 200% Increase, Supply Still Nearly 40% Below Normal
Sale Prices Up 3.5% Since December
For Buyers:
Rates defied industry predictions once again and rose over a point from 5.99% to 7.1% between February 2nd and March 2nd. For the past 4 weeks, rates have hovered in the upper 6% range, figuratively "pinching the hose" on demand during the popular Spring season for buyers. At 9,001, contracts are at their 4th lowest count since 2005, the lowest counts were in 2006-2008 and normal range is 11,000-13,000. Buyers are not the only ones holding back due to higher mortgage rates, sellers are too. New listings added to the Arizona Regional MLS are the lowest ever recorded going back at least 23 years. This may be shocking to some as there has been a 200% increase in supply year-over-year, but last year at this time supply was merely 4,820 active listings. The reality is that ARMLS active supply spiked over...
For Buyers:
The price reductions keep coming. Last week when mortgage rates hit 7.0%, the Greater Phoenix housing market responded with 4,427 price reductions, 24% of all active properties in the MLS. At least 50% of those dropped their price by $12,000 or more.
September saw 1,372 closings involving seller closing cost assistance to the buyer, equating to 23% of MLS sales, with a median concession of $7,000. This is a 334% increase from last June's count of just 316 sales involving concessions. New home sales through the MLS showed 33% with concessions, and 50% at $10,000 or more. OpenDoor, as a seller, paid concessions on 355 transactions, 77% of their sales through MLS, with...