Posts from September 2024

For Buyers:

It may be hard to believe, but recessions are historically the beginning of a turnaround for the housing market. After enduring more than 2 years of declining sales, sellers and buyers may start moving and transacting again. While recessions are negative for the economy (as they coincide with higher unemployment), two things typically occur that turn the housing market positive.

The first is home value stabilization. In every recession since 1970 (except for one infamous recession in 2008) home values had minimal fluctuation and appreciation year-over-year. The second is mortgage rates. Every recession since 1970 saw mortgage rates decline while at least 90% of the labor force remained employed. According to the August employment report from the Arizona Dept of Economic Opportunity, private sector earnings rose 7.3% annually in June, and 5.3% in July. Both rates are higher than the rate of inflation, and higher than the rate of home price...

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