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Cindy Nelson AZ REALTOR Blog

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Buyers | 14 Posts
Community | 6 Posts
Market Update | 21 Posts
Sellers | 2 Posts
October
17

More Choice for Buyers: Supply Up 22% in 10 Weeks

For Buyers:
The 4th quarter is here, and this is the best time of year to be a buyer in Greater Phoenix! Inventory continues to rise, up 22% in 10 weeks to be exact, and price reductions typically peak in October and November. Most sellers listing in October are motivated to close on their homes before the end of the year, but few are more motivated than builders. New homes make up 22% of active MLS listings and 29% of Maricopa and Pinal County August sales. Builder incentives are including not only closing cost assistance, but select upgrades and significant permanent and temporary rate buy downs. For perspective, let's use a $350,000 loan. If a buyer uses the seller's or builder's closing cost assistance to buy down the mortgage rate by 3% it would save more than $650/month on their payment. Buying the rate down by 2% saves $450/month.


Builders are not the only ones with incentives, however...

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October
9

In this video, I'll do the math to show you why waiting could be a COSTLY mistake! Plus, find out why home prices keep climbing in the Phoenix area despite rising interest rates. Knowledge is power ... LIKE and SHARE this video with anyone you know who wants the scoop on the Phoenix area real estate market.

Cindy Nelson is an Arizona native and REALTOR® with Realty ONE Group and serves the Phoenix Metro area and the White Mountain region. She subscribes to the Cromford Market Report and is an active Trusted Advisor University member. 

May
24

Prices Recovering, Median Up to $425K in May

For Buyers:

The sharp decline in supply for Greater Phoenix is a good reason for buyers to have a sense of urgency about purchasing a home. Since the beginning of 2023, supply counts have been declining at an average rate of 246 listings per week and since the peak in October, total supply is down 42%. At this rate, the effects of the massive supply surge last year will be erased and the year-over-year change will be negative within 6 weeks. In fact, the Valley could see extremely low supply similar to 2021 and 2022 within 7-8 months if a significant source of supply doesn't emerge.

While permits for new single-family homes dropped by 74% over the last half of last year, they have doubled since December. While tha...

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May
4

Numbers don't lie. Here is what is really happening in the Phoenix area real estate market. Find out why now is an ideal window for buyers to make a move.


Cindy Nelson is an Arizona native and REALTOR® with Realty ONE Group and serves the Phoenix Metro area and the White Mountain region. Cindy is a subscriber to the Cromford Market Report and an active Trusted Advisor University member. 

August
5

If you're looking for a buyer's market, Buckeye, Queen Creek, and Maricopa will provide buyers with the upper hand when it comes to negotiating. Here is a look at the rest of the Phoenix metro area real estate market. 

This chart shows you the Cromford Market Index (CMI). 

CMI > 110 = Favors Sellers

CMI of 90-110 = Balanced Market

CMI

Cromford Market Index Report Aug 2022

As you can see, Gilbert is on the cusp of a buyer's market and Surprise and Tempe could follow within days.  This week, just 6 of the 17 largest cities in the Phoenix Metro area are statistically in a seller's market.  Two of those cities, Goodyear and Avondale, could move into a balanced market shortly. 

Overall, the demand for the entire Phoenix Metro area is currently at 81%. Supply is at 65.6%....

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Disclaimer: All information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. All properties are subject to prior sale, change or withdrawal. Neither listing broker(s) or information provider(s) shall be responsible for any typographical errors, misinformation, misprints and shall be held totally harmless. Listing(s) information is provided for consumers personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Information on this site was last updated 11/08/2026. The listing information on this page last changed on 11/08/2026. The data relating to real estate for sale on this website comes in part from the Internet Data Exchange program of Delta Media Group MLS (last updated Sun 11/08/2026 10:41:26 AM EST) or ARMLS (last updated Sun 11/08/2026 10:35:17 AM EST). Real estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Cindy Nelson - Realty One Group may be marked with the Internet Data Exchange logo and detailed information about those properties will include the name of the listing broker(s) when required by the MLS. All rights reserved.
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